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The World AI Is Building

U.S. data center electricity use rises toward at least 325 TWh by 2028

The floor of the forecast is nearly double 2023 use, and the high end is more than 3 times higher.

▲ Accelerating86% confidencehorizon Dec 2028data as of 2023
Confidence-weighted forecast · history → projection
Tracking U.S. data center electricity use (TWh per year)
2014201820232028now
ObservedProjectionshaded band = confidence cone
86%
Confidence
2028
Horizon
Jun 2026
First called
Tracking
Status
The call

You ask for one answer. The country has to prepare for millions of those answers, every hour, inside buildings that need power before they can think.

The number to notice

The low end of the 2028 forecast is 325 TWh, almost double the 2023 level. The high end is 580 TWh.

What’s driving this
  • more AI servers
  • more cloud use
  • larger grid connections
  • higher chip shipments
Sources · check usOpen
U.S. data center electricity report ↗U.S. Department of Energy · 2024-12-20official
For you

Your AI habit feels like a few taps. At grid scale, it becomes the kind of demand that can shape local power bills, land fights, and energy plans.

What would change our mind
A new DOE or utility-backed dataset showing slower AI server growth, delayed data center construction, much higher chip efficiency, or falling cloud demand would weaken this call.
Behind the numbersOpen

Source: U.S. Department of Energy summary of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory's 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Observed figures: 58 TWh in 2014, about 76 TWh in 2018, and 176 TWh in 2023. Forecast range: 325 to 580 TWh in 2028. The 2028 point uses the published lower end as the conservative forecast value because the source reports a range, not a single central estimate. TWh means terawatt-hours, a measure of electricity used over a year.

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