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Hidden Cost

Text scam losses rise to $470 million

Scam texts are getting more costly, even though people are more aware that suspicious links can be dangerous.

▲ Rising84% confidencehorizon Dec 2026data as of 2024
Confidence-weighted forecast · history → projection
Tracking reported losses from scams that started with text messages (millions of U.S. dollars)
2020202120222023202420252026now
ObservedProjectionshaded band = confidence cone
84%
Confidence
2026
Horizon
Jun 2026
First called
Tracking
Status
The call

A text looks like a package update, a bank alert, a toll notice, or a job offer. It lands in the same place as messages from real people, so your guard drops for one second.

The number to notice

Reported losses from text-started scams rose from $86 million in 2020 to $470 million in 2024.

What’s driving this
  • fake delivery, bank, toll, job, and wrong-number texts match normal daily life
  • AI can make scam messages cleaner and more believable
  • texts create urgency in a private channel
  • links can send people to fake pages that look official
Sources · check usOpen
New FTC Data Show Top Text Message Scams of 2024; Overall Losses to Text Scams Hit $470 Million ↗Federal Trade Commission · 2025-04-16officialTech Brief: Text-Based Scams and AI ↗Georgetown Law Institute for Technology Law and Policy · 2025report
For you

Your phone is now a front door. The safest habit is to leave the text, open the real app or website yourself, and check from there.

What would change our mind
Revise this call if FTC data show text-started scam losses falling below $327 million for a full year or if reports and losses both decline for two straight years.
Behind the numbersOpen

Observed values are reported as FTC-linked text scam loss figures: $86M in 2020, $131M in 2021, $327M in 2022, $373M in 2023, and $470M in 2024. The FTC's 2025 release states that consumers reported losing $470M in 2024 to scams that started with text messages and that this was five times higher than 2020 even though report volume declined. Georgetown Law's Tech Institute summarizes the annual FTC-linked series. These are reported losses only; unreported losses are not included. Projection is an editorial direction call, not an FTC forecast.

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