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You Were Nudged

Crypto scam losses rise above $11 billion

Scammers keep using crypto rails because fake trust can turn into fast, hard-to-reverse payments.

▲ Rising82% confidencehorizon Dec 2026data as of 2025
Confidence-weighted forecast · history → projection
Tracking reported fraud losses tied to cryptocurrency (billions of U.S. dollars)
20222023202420252026now
ObservedProjectionshaded band = confidence cone
82%
Confidence
2026
Horizon
Jun 2026
First called
Tracking
Status
The call

A fake investment screen can feel like progress. The numbers move. The dashboard looks real. Then the withdrawal never comes.

The number to notice

Reported crypto-linked fraud losses nearly tripled from about $3.86 billion in 2022 to $11.366 billion in 2025.

What’s driving this
  • fake investment platforms can show fake gains before blocking withdrawals
  • crypto payments are fast and difficult for victims to reverse
  • romance and friendship scams build emotional trust before asking for money
  • AI and automation make personalized persuasion cheaper
Sources · check usOpen
2025 Internet Crime Report ↗FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center · 2026official2023 Cryptocurrency Fraud Report ↗FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center · 2024official2023 Cryptocurrency Fraud Report Released ↗Federal Bureau of Investigation · 2024-09-10official
For you

When someone pushes you toward crypto, a new wallet, or a fast transfer, the question is not just “is this investment real?” It is “can I get my money back if I am wrong?”

What would change our mind
Revise this call if FBI IC3 cryptocurrency-related losses fall below $6 billion for a full year or if crypto-linked complaints fall while recovery rates materially improve.
Behind the numbersOpen

Observed values come from FBI IC3 cryptocurrency-related fraud reporting. The FBI’s 2023 cryptocurrency fraud report says losses with a cryptocurrency nexus totaled more than $5.6 billion in 2023, a 45% increase over 2022, implying roughly $3.86 billion in 2022. The 2024 IC3 reporting put cryptocurrency-related losses around $9.3 billion. The 2025 IC3 report put cryptocurrency-related reported losses at $11.366 billion. This metric counts complaints with a cryptocurrency connection; it is not the same as all crypto market losses or all online crime losses.

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