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Why I'm Building HeyDataDude
Most AI thinking is loud and uncalibrated. Every claim here has a prior, a threshold, and a public outcome. The opposite of plausible deniability.
New0 min read· May 6, 2026
Sources
Numbered. Trust level visible. Stale flags after 9 months.
- 1.
Brier score: mean squared error of probabilistic forecasts against outcomes.
highOriginal definition of the Brier score used on /receipts. Lower is better; 0.25 is the "always 50%" baseline.
paper· 1950· Glenn W. Brier· verified May 2026https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/78/1/1520-0493_1950_078_0001_vofeit_2_0_co_2.xml
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